Thursday, January 28, 2021
"Improper" Tree Hazard Assessments?
Wednesday, January 20, 2021
Carbon offset controversy
https://carbon180.medium.com/in-search-of-carbon-removal-offsets-42abf71b3ccc
https://forestpolicypub.com/2020/12/10/bloomberg-green-on-the-nature-conservancy-and-meaningless-carbon-offsets/
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Regenerative Agriculture Controversy?
https://www.wri.org/blog/2020/05/regenerative-agriculture-climate-change
https://agfundernews.com/opinion-where-the-world-resources-institute-got-it-wrong-about-regenerative-agriculture.html
https://undark.org/2020/01/31/podcast-43-regenerative-agriculture/
Saturday, January 02, 2021
China's Inspiration
The CCP's use of internal-directed propaganda sounds like any successful corporation in the US. (that is a good thing.) Most US companies constantly role out initiatives, revise their mission and value statements, conduct constant surveillance and try to inspire workers with shared goals from the C-suit down to the entry level worker. Any organization that can achieve alignment will have higher morale and be more productive that one that cannot achieve this. There are a number of sacrifices necessary to live in a democratic state, but I think this essay points at one of the most important: the lack of inspiration.
Thursday, December 24, 2020
Habitat in the Endangered Species Act
Response to Jake Li's response to FWS revised definition of "habitat".
A couple of points about critical habitat. First, it is often not stated by those who understand the ESA, and often misunderstood by those who do not, that critical habitat designations only have regulatory force on federal lands or for projects that involve a federal nexus (such that a federal agency would consult with FWS). While this may seem like nitpicking, it is crucial to understand the regulatory impact of the change in definition, as many federal agencies do not rely exclusively on critical habitat designations but instead consult with FWS based on the SME of their biologists whenever a project may impact a listed species.
For private land, where many people are most worried about critical habitat, any changes in the areas designated would have little to no impact due to the fact that critical habitat has little to no impact on private land.
Second, it is interesting to consider how this change in the definition of habitat would affect monarchs. I think it would not affect monarch habitat due to the inclusion of "ephemeral and seasonal habitat" in the definition. Even if monarchs only inhabit an area for a few months of the year, that area could still be designated critical habitat.
You write that the 7a habitat protection is redundant if an area is occupied (and therefore protected by the jeopardy prohibition). But monarchs (and many other species) only seasonally occupy parts of their critical habitat, so the 7a protection will continue to be relevant in those cases.
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Thoughts about possible monarch listing:
Planting milkweed habitat
Some people are afraid of creating milkweed habitat because apparently they think they would never be able to destroy or modify this habitat. I find this unlikely. More likely is that they would be restricted from destroying or modifying the habitat while monarch caterpillars are present. During winter months, they could destroy this habitat without adversely affecting individual monarchs. Habitat protection in the ESA is often misunderstood on this point.
CCAA
I assume that monarchs will be listed. Even so, there are many reasons for not joining CCAA, but I will focus on reasons that FWS enforcement will not be detrimental to business operations at companies with well-developed IVM programs.
A mature IVM program already has the goal to move away from mowing/mastication toward spot treatment of incompatibles with herbicide. Although there will need to be mowing in some areas, the reason for mowing is that the areas are overgrown with woody vegetation. Therefore these areas would not support monarch milkweed habitat.
There may be incidental work in monarch milkweed habitat, but most of this work would not impact monarch breeding. For example tree cutting. I consider it unlikely the FWS would broadly restrict all activities in monarch milkweed habitats, due to the vast and unenforceable impact this would have on ordinary activities across the country.
I believe FWS will restrict some activities that would impact monarch milkweed habitat, during the monarch breeding season, especially ground-disturbing activities. Biological opinions for species impacted by ground disturbing work implement mitigation measures that include timing restrictions and crew trainings. FWS has provided incidental take statements based on these mitigation measures and reporting requirements. I expect a similar scenario when monarch are listed.
Wednesday, December 09, 2020
What is a Scientist?
"Science is a way of thinking, not an answer."
I hope to explain what science really is, and why its such a good thing (one of the most important in life). But first, let's start with some examples:
Is Mr A a scientist? He worships spaghetti monster. Doesn't matter, lots of Christians are scientific and they worship similar gods.
Is Mr B a scientist? He believes Earth goes around sun, is made of atoms, and humans evolved from prehistoric primates because he reads science books. Doesn't matter what you believe. Just because its in a book....
Ms. C read a website that earth is flat and evolution is a hoax. Is one "right" and one "wrong"? Maybe, but saying one is "science" and one isn't isn't the point.
What is a Scientist?
1) Open mind
2) Respect institutions that promote learning (process)
3) Experimentation
Tuesday, June 16, 2020
Sleep Apnea: Research and Self-Experimentation Results
Abstract
I tested several sensors that claim to measure sleep apnea through optical measurement of blood oxygen content.
Background
Blood oxygen arterial saturation (Sa02) is approximated by Sp02. At 5,000 feet elevation, Sp02 should be above 92%. Values under 90% are considered low. Hypoxemia is dangerously low blood oxygen, defined as Sp02 <88% for more than 5 minutes. (Hypoxia is low tissue oxygen levels)
An oxygen saturation level over 95 percent is considered normal. Anything below 92 percent oxygen may be a sign of breathing problems during sleep, such as sleep apnea or another disorder like severe snoring, COPD or asthma. (Low levels can also be caused by anemia.)
Sleep apnea is characterized by a cessation of airflow lasting 10 seconds or more. Hypopnea (shallow breathing resulting in desaturation) is a decrease in airflow lasting 10 seconds or more with a 30% oxygen reduction and a 3 to 4% desaturation from the baseline. It is not uncommonpatients with sleep apnea to desaturate below 88%.
Note: low Sp02 is an indicator of sleep apnea and is not necessarily the mechanism of the bad effects. It may be possible to not have hypoxemia, but still have interrupted sleep.
Sleep apnea and hypopnea can cause small awakenings that disrupt normal sleep cycles. This can cause irregular heart beats, high blood pressure, blood sugar excursions, strokes, heart attacks, etc. Most common effect is to create chronic, elevated stress response.
Results
- Fitbit Charge 2 never showed any apnea episodes
- Biostrap showed several, including some that my wife didn't remember
- Wellue 02 ring showed several mild episodes per night. Based on other testing, this sensor seemed potentially the most accurate, but location on finger wasn't comfortable. Also ended up not being accurate because I sometimes sleep on my arm, cutting off circulation, which reduces Sp02.
Conclusion
I have been diagnosed with mild sleep apnea and my wife has no known apnea. We both tried the Sp02 wearable sensors and they consistently showed the same level of apneas between us, either none (Fitbit) or mild (Wellue 02 Ring). Based on the lack of a clear and actionable signal from these sensors, I no longer use them to track apnea events. Instead I focus on trying to minimize possible breathing issues and promote general good sleep hygiene to try to improve restfulness.
Monday, June 01, 2020
Covid and evidence for/against the Efficient Market Hypothesis
Sunday, May 31, 2020
Blood oxygen concentration during Wim Hof breathing
Here is some interesting data: Blood oxygen concentration and heart rate during three cycles of Wim Hof hyperventilation and breath holding.

